A new account made over $515,000 betting on the U.S. strike against Iran
Something is going on with Polymarket, and we need to talk about it.
Last night, a brand new account made over $515,000 betting on the U.S. strike against Iran. The trade was placed 71 minutes before the news broke publicly.
For years, Polymarket was effectively banned for U.S. users and under active criminal investigation. In 2025:
– Those investigations were closed.
– The platform was legalized.
– It saw $21 billion in trades (up from $9 billion in 2024).
I believe in free markets. But when the President’s own family sits on the advisory board of a platform that had its legal hurdles cleared overnight, we need to be asking questions.
Mar 1, 2026 · 2:41 AM UTC
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